Both normal items and golden frying pans have the SAME chance of dropping from free or key unboxes
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Normal Item
0.01%

Strange Golden Frying Pan
0.003%
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Strange Normal Item
0.002%
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Strange Unusual Golden Frying Pan
0.0006%

Normal Golden Frying Pan
0.0000003%

Strange Normal Golden Frying Pan
0.000000067%